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Published 18:09 19 Nov 2020 GMT
Professor Philip Nolan, Chair of the NPHET Irish Epidemiological Modelling Advisory Group, said: “For three weeks we saw case numbers declining at a rate of 5 - 7% per day and a reproduction number as low as 0.6.
"We are aware that case numbers have now stopped declining and as a consequence the reproduction number has increased to an estimated 0.7- 0.9.
"The data strongly suggests that a small, recent increase in the level of social contacts has led to the increase in reproduction number we see now. A small additional effort to reduce our contacts will make a big difference to reduce disease incidence before 1 December.
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