It looks like a disaster.
On Thursday afternoon, Sky News published a document from Westminster marked “Sensitive,” which appears to show a forecast of what things will look like on the ground in the first day, fortnight and month following a no-deal Brexit.
As things stand, the UK is set to leave the EU without a deal on 31 October.
On the first day of a no-deal Brexit, cross border agricultural trade in Ireland could virtually stop, according to the document. Vessels from the EU and the UK would no longer be permitted to access each other’s waters. Furthermore, UK nationals in EU countries could immediately lose access to services and residence rights.
It gets worse from there, and it is speculated that serious organised crime to increase vis-a-vis smuggling and illegal migration.
The document also refers to “law and order challenges” and small businesses in distress in Northern Ireland within the first month, as well as unsustainable policing demands.
While the document is part of a government briefing, it specifies that none of these outcomes are the policy of the UK government.
You can read the document for yourself below.
EXC: On Sky News now: we’ve obtained a “sensitive” internal Whitehall slide which makes sober reading about the first month of a no deal brexit. It warns of
– “consumer panic”
– “law and order challenges” in NI
– security gaps
– Brits abroad returnProduced before BJ became PM pic.twitter.com/2liueLqqeE
— Sam Coates Sky (@SamCoatesSky) August 1, 2019
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