Chance of actually getting a ticket for the Oasis reunion tour revealed

You might want to manage your excitement.

With general ticket sales happening on Saturday morning, odds calculation website AceOdds has crunched the numbers and delivered the chances of success for each person logging on with the hopes of seeing the most-anticipated reconciliation in the history of music.

By gathering data from Spotify listeners and observing a 1,613% spike in searches for 'Oasis tickets' since the announcement was made on Tuesday, the researchers have come up with a rather bleak forecast for the average fan.

The probability of you, the person reading this, getting a ticket for one of the Oasis shows when they go on sale this weekend is just 2.3%.

Based on the numbers - despite the fact that over one million tickets are going on sale - over 40 million people could miss out and be left disappointed.

According to AceOdds, even the best-case scenario will give fans just a 4.7% chance of securing a ticket.

If you were to apply that information to the bookies, you'd get odds of around 40/1.

A spokesperson for the company told the Scottish Daily Express that getting the basics right is the way to give yourself a good chance of securing a ticket.

"Set your alarms, ensure your payment details are ready and saved on each ticket selling site, and perhaps have a backup plan in place, such as creating accounts across the three different ticketing sites," they advised.

She added: "Even if you’re unsuccessful at first, keep an eye out for possible additional dates or resale opportunities—but be prepared to move quickly, as this will be one of the most popular ticket sales of the decade."

Oasis tour dates

JULY 2025

• 4th - Cardiff, Principality Stadium
• 5th - Cardiff, Principality Stadium

• 11th - Manchester, Heaton Park
• 12th - Manchester, Heaton Park
• 19th - Manchester, Heaton Park
• 20th - Manchester, Heaton Park

• 25th - London, Wembley Stadium
• 26th - London, Wembley Stadium

AUGUST 2025

• 2nd - London, Wembley Stadium
• 3rd - London, Wembley Stadium

• 8th - Edinburgh, Scottish Gas Murrayfield Stadium
• 9th - Edinburgh, Scottish Gas Murrayfield Stadium

• 16th - Dublin, Croke Park
• 17th - Dublin, Croke Park

Bear in mind that if you are lucky enough to get tickets to the gig, but need a place to stay for the night, finding a reasonably-priced hotel room could be almost as difficult as the show itself.

A top hotel in Manchester has reportedly cancelled customers’ bookings on Oasis gig nights before relisting them for a much higher price later.

Taking to X, Sacha Lord, the night time economy adviser for Greater Manchester, wrote that he had been contacted by “several people” who had been told that a “computer error” had let to the cancellation of their rooms at a Maldron hotel in Manchester.

He claimed that the hotel, which is part of the larger Maldron chain, had put the rooms “back up for three times the price”.

Multiple customers have complained about the same issue.

Mark Slinger, 36, an Oasis fan who lives on the Isle of Man, told Sky News that he booked to stay at the four-star Maldron Hotel located in the city centre of Manchester for the 20 July.

The date happened to coincide with the final night of Oasis’s run of gigs at Heaton Park in 2025.

Mark took to booking.com to make the £90 reservation yesterday morning upon the band announcing their reunion tour.

However, he was later contacted by the hotel that evening informing him his booking had to be cancelled.

The email said: “We are writing to inform you of an issue with your booking at Maldron Hotel Manchester City Centre.

“Due to a technical error, you have received a confirmation for a booking that was not successfully made. Unfortunately we are unable to accommodate your booking at this time.”

Mark was urged to “accept promptly” a cancellation request sent with the email.

Talking to Sky News he said he hasn’t accepted the request and won’t be doing so and also refuses to believe the issue was the result of a “technical error”.

“They realised they can cancel and re-sell at four times the price due to the Oasis gig,” he said.

Maldron Hotels issued a statement insisting that the cancellations were in fact the result of a technical error and had nothing to do with the Oasis concerts.